Articles

Selected category: US Govt and Economy

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2009,(that is, from the second quarter to the... Read →
Economist Andrew Smithers, who recommended investors sell their equity holdings in 2000, now believes that the S&P 500 is 40 overvalued. As central banks cut back on quantitative easing, he believes stock markets will come back... Read →
U.S. home prices fell 0.3 percent on a seasonally-adjusted basis from July to August, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s monthly House Price Index. The previously reported 0.3 percent increase in July was unrevised. For... Read →
Yields on 10-year Treasury Notes fell after data showed that inflation was tame in September and that the housing market is still far from recovery. The 10-year Treasury Note declined 7 basis points to 3.32%. Wholesale prices fell by a... Read →

The graph below shows what the return on this strategy would look like. I was a bit surprised at just how well it did. Clearly, preserving capital, even when it is stashed in unsexy, lower yielding savings accounts for long periods of time, is a better strategy than riskier investing in an inflated market. Let me repeat, according to this analysis capital preservation is the name of the game, not getting every last bit of return out of a tired stock market.

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Stagflation, deflation, depression and recession. Which are we in and which one are we headed to? I have no idea, but at least I can tell you what they mean. Happy Reading

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Since the economy is still in the toilet this seems like as good a time as any to learn a little bit about the subject of economics. This can be a deep, oft confusing, and sometimes boring subject so I will keep each article in the series... Read →

The US Savings Rate increased to 5.7% of disposable income in April 2009 and economists expect it to go to a post WWII high. That means less demand for goods and services, less growth, and lower stock prices.

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Noted economists Gregory Mankiw, former White House adviser, and Kenneth Rogoff, former Chief Economist at the International Monetary Fund believe the US needs a bit more inflation to get the recovery going. Rogoff, who is currently a... Read →

It is good to be excited, but is it warranted.

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As much as I like to accumulate reward points, I usually pay cash when I go to the store. Now, I want the store to be able to pass along some of the discount that they are getting from not needed to pay the credit card companies for the pleasure of accepting their payment.

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The tale of the economy over the next couple of years is really a test of the theories of John Maynard Keynes, the father of deficit spending, or Milton Friedman, the Novel Laureatee, who believed that inflation was a monetary phenomenon. Bernanke has thrown his lost with Keynes.

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FDIC Chairwoman Sheila Bair was on CNBC tonight answering questions from Erin Burnet, crazy Jim Cramer, and an audio in a town hall style meeting. Here's what she had to say.

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For all of the bad news that we hear day in and day out, there are some positives. Today, we learned that personal income actually rose in October. That's right, people who are working are making more.

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Dow Jones Industrials Crash Analysis - Great Depression Versus Today

I've wondering how the performance of the Dow in 2008 compares to the drop during the Great Depression. To find out, I graphed both and set them side by side. The results are interesting...

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